Commentary: CONTEXT: "The global recession this year will be more than twice as severe as in 2009" RELATIVE DEVELOPED ECONOMY LAGGARDS: "France, Italy and S...

Our favorite forecasting model for COVID19, and thus far highly accurate, Y.Y.G. (MIT Data Scientist), forecasting of US Deaths for the first week of August ...

We recap some of the comments we've made on oil; and note that OPEC is around the corner here. On March 27, 2020, in "Week Ahead," we indicated, Venezuela, U...

"China’s economic recovery from the coronavirus pandemic remains uneven, despite initial optimism around the prospects for a sharp rebound following the stab...

CDC website link for Cumulative COVID-19 Death Data and corresponding third party academic models, including 1, 2, 3, 4-week forward projections downloadable...

Checking-in Today’s intraday reversal from negative to positive territory for the S&P500 was the largest intraday reversal since December 2018.  At the same ...

Yesterday, Dow Jones Transports ($TRAN) declined 2.84%, Financials ($XLF) declined 2.61%, Consumer Discretionary ($XLY) declined 2.19%, Industrials ($XLI) de...

One day this past November (2019), I decided, on whim after starting to run regularly and jump in a couple of local San Diego 5ks after the young woman (31) ...

Fitch Credit Ratings is out with a general note on the European Outlook.  They have a baseline Occ%, ADR, RevPAR forecast for Europe - which we find as optim...

Carl Q of CNBC out pushing an MS piece stating that all Recessions are "V-Shaped" Recoveries, with MS committing Chart Crime zooming out and drawing cute cir...

COVID19 Death Rate in US to Rise, will it Flatline?   Almost every COVID19 Forecasting Model (n=14) currently utilized by the Centers for Disease Control and...

Remember when we distilled truth about Jan Frietag's horrific RevPAR forecasts predicated on a ridiculous Moody's U.S. GDP Macro Outlook?, "Jan Frietag on th...

FOMC THIS WEEK. First, we see NO cut to short term rates this week by the Federal Reserve at its regular FOMC meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday (28/29).  Whil...

April 29, 2020: Asia-Pacific: South Korea and Japan's Golden Week holidays to begin, lasting through May 6. Fitch has downgraded Italy to BBB-, one notch abo...

CHINA New export orders component of CHN PMI: Down to 33.5, indicative of pain outside China Top Chinese scientists believe the coronavirus could come back e...

Remember in recent weeks when we said that oil was likely to remain in the $20 level? and migrate towards a global $30bbl target later this year?  WTI closed...

If Warren Buffet doesn't see ANY reasons to buy U.S. equities at these all-time Multiple of Earnings Highs - should you think more like Buffet or less like B...

Leading into the summer of 2015, we brought the morass that was the Italian banking sector to our gentleman (and woman) readers' doorsteps. We went through t...

MACRO First by way of quick follow-up on our ITA commentary from yesterday evening, overnight, "Italy's sovereign debt is scheduled to be rated by Moody's, w...

Moody's took no action on Italy or Greece today.  (Note: Moody's Sovereign Release Calendar designates two dates for the potential release of both solicited ...