GB DavisOct 25, 20205 minLAM Research $LRCX Qtr End Sep'20 Earnings Call Nuggets$LRCX is a 40-year old company whose revenues are 75% derived from China, Korea and Taiwan where such economies and especially semiconduc...
GB DavisOct 17, 202018 minOdds and Ends - Market Update - 10/17/204Q20 has a lot of fireworks ahead – do you have a contingency plan? Reflecting this weekend and over the past couple of weeks, on my many...
GB DavisOct 2, 20208 minJobs are the Key to this Election - 10/2/20Another week, and more risk-off. Well Trump has the virus, WuFlu, COVD19, and is taking a two week vacation with Melania - where they are...
GB DavisSep 27, 20207 minCongress needs to stop Acting and start Initiating - 9/26/20On August 7, 2020, in "It's the Economy Stupid, Jobs are the Economy Stupid, Not the QQQ," we indicated (or rather relayed, adding our ow...
GB DavisSep 5, 20207 minWay Points - 9/5/20Will people get rich shorting $TSLA, $APPL, $DOCU, #MoMo names just like in the dot.com era? Or will these unicorns prevail at ridiculous...
GB DavisAug 28, 20206 min5yr TIPS were a Great Telltale - 8/28/20On November 17, 2018, in " Rate Hike Cycle End Near Absent Artificial Inflation," we commented, in part "Cramer is on the tape blasting t...
GB DavisAug 1, 202022 minCross-currents (8/1/20)There are some important reads in here, if you are interested in global financial markets. We had some good earnings calls last week incl...
GB DavisJul 18, 20204 minSector Dashboard, Earnings on Tap - 7/18/20Well that was a swell week. Kind of sort of. First up some way points and then our 30,000 ft. Sector Purvey. This Time is Different: we...
GB DavisJul 8, 202010 min2q Bank Earnings, U.S. CMBS Nightmare, and Deterioration in Global Shipping - 7/8/20On July 7, 2020, Moody’s Investors Services slashed its Global EBITDA estimates for the Shipping industry in a research note, “we now exp...
GB DavisJun 28, 20202 minSelect Banks likely to Begin Cutting Dividends on June 29, after Fed Suspends Sharebacks (6/28/20)On June 8, 2020, in "U.S. Bank Dividends Vulnerable Given Added Challenges of Stress Tests (Stress Capital Buffer, CECL Phase-In Amid Cor...
GB DavisJun 19, 20205 minQuadruple Witching Expiration Friday to End with a 30 VIX and No Violence - 6/19/20Risk Markets looking pretty tame on this Quadruple Witching Expiration Friday - despite elevated VIX. The massive volatility many expect...
GB DavisJun 18, 20205 minVegas COVID19 Prevalence Rising - More Woes for Vegas - 6/18/20On March 27, 2020, in "Market Currents" we indicated, "Trepp issued a very brief note yesterday, alleging to have Stress Tested the CMBS ...
GB DavisJun 6, 20203 minReflections - 6/5/20Major U.S. Indices Friday, saw the Dow Jones Industrial Average close +829.16 (+3.15%) to 27,110.98. The DJIA ($INDU) is now trading abov...
GB DavisJun 3, 202011 minRiding the Bull - 6/3/20We have been riding the proverbial bull here - while - importantly, keeping an eye on the cliff we appear to be traversing. Eight (8) tr...
GB DavisJun 2, 20207 minSpectator Sports Unlikely Before a Vaccine is Available and Testing is Commonplace - 6/1/20Today, the United States of America Track & Field Association (USATF) released, "Return to Training and Event Hosting Guidance related to...
GB DavisMay 31, 20207 minOdds and Ends - 5/30/20Client Distribution, May 30, 2020 - 10:48 AM EDT 90% of the SP500 is now back above their 50dMAs, which many will see as bullish. Yet at...
GB DavisMay 27, 20203 minFitch Revises Global Outlook - 5/27/20Commentary: CONTEXT: "The global recession this year will be more than twice as severe as in 2009" RELATIVE DEVELOPED ECONOMY LAGGARDS: ...
GB DavisMay 25, 20202 minCOVID 19 De-Risking - 5/25/20Our favorite forecasting model for COVID19, and thus far highly accurate, Y.Y.G. (MIT Data Scientist), forecasting of US Deaths for the f...
GB DavisMay 24, 20206 minOil has a Bid - 5/23/20We recap some of the comments we've made on oil; and note that OPEC is around the corner here. On March 27, 2020, in "Week Ahead," we ind...
GB DavisMay 21, 20209 minChina as Proxy - 5/21/20"China’s economic recovery from the coronavirus pandemic remains uneven, despite initial optimism around the prospects for a sharp reboun...